Data through Nov 9

#14 by share

Mega Sceptile ex Greninja

68 pilots · 90 entries · hero card Mega Sceptile ex

How to beat it Matchups

Meta share2.6%+17%2.08–3.19% · 90 entries

Win rate54.9%Steady51.3–58.4 · 530 games

Adjusted for skill53.0%49.4–56.6 · average player

Vs the meta55.0%50.9–59.1 · sets the tier

Top cuts1.34×1.02–1.65 · vs expected

Pilot rating1531+14 vs their opponents

Window

Games

Since C1

Share and win rate over time

Day by day. Bands show the likely range; faint dotted stretches have few games.

Meta share

2.6%range 2.08–3.19% · 90 entries

Meta share(band: likely range)Few entries

Show data

Meta share by day: value, 90% range and sample size
Data through	Meta share	90% range	entries
Oct 30	0.26% (few)	0.1–1.0%	2
Oct 31	0.83% (few)	0.5–1.5%	13
Nov 1	0.78% (few)	0.4–1.4%	14
Nov 2	0.67% (few)	0.4–1.2%	15
Nov 3	0.97%	0.6–1.5%	23
Nov 4	1.6%	1.2–2.2%	42
Nov 5	1.6%	1.2–2.2%	43
Nov 6	2.1%	1.6–2.7%	60
Nov 7	2.1%	1.6–2.7%	61
Nov 8	2.4%	1.9–3.1%	77
Nov 9	2.6%	2.1–3.2%	90

Win rate

54.9%range 51.3–58.4% · 530 games

Win rate(band: likely range)Few gamesAdjusted for skill

Show data

Win rate by day: value, 90% range and sample size
Data through	Win rate	90% range	games	Adjusted for skill
Oct 30	72.2% (few)	52.9–80.0%	18	69.7%
Oct 31	52.7% (few)	42.9–62.3%	69	49.8%
Nov 1	51.9% (few)	42.4–61.2%	74	49.4%
Nov 2	54.7% (few)	45.8–63.3%	85	50.7%
Nov 3	57.9%	51.0–64.6%	141	54.8%
Nov 4	56.7%	51.6–61.7%	254	55.2%
Nov 5	56.4%	51.3–61.4%	257	55.0%
Nov 6	54.6%	50.2–58.9%	353	53.5%
Nov 7	54.2%	49.8–58.5%	359	53.3%
Nov 8	55.1%	51.2–58.9%	448	53.8%
Nov 9	54.9%	51.3–58.4%	530	53.0%

Representative list

A typical recent list at its usual counts, grouped into core cards, flex choices and techs. Each share is of this deck's recent lists, as in Card usage.

Open in builder

Core17In nearly every list

Flex1One spot in the deck, a choice of cards

Furfrou · 1 copy in nearly every list; lists pick:

Tech2Optional: in some lists

2 copiesStapleSerena's Choice78% of lists

Also in some lists: Hiking Trail 35% · Field Blower 20%

20 cards in this list

At a glance

Among 8 matchups with enough recent games.

Best matchups

Worst matchups

Mega Charizard Y ex Entei ex8.8% of field · 21–31–2
43.4%
Win rate 43.4% · 90% range 33.8–53.1% · Record 21–31–2 over 54 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Part games, part prediction.

Card usage

How often each card is played in this deck's recent lists, with its trend arrow on the art, and how much it changes the deck's win rate against the meta.

Inclusion Lift Trending

72% of lists, range 61.1–81.4%, trend steady (−1.6pp, now vs the whole 13-day window, within the noise)×1
Furfrou B3b 61
Lift+4.1pp
+4.1pp · 90% range −4.7pp to +12.8pp · could be zero
−4.7pp to +12.8pp
13% of lists, range 6.5–23.3%, trend steady (+1.2pp, now vs the whole 13-day window, within the noise)×1
Furfrou B4a 64
Lift+4.0pp
+4.0pp · 90% range −6.8pp to +14.7pp · could be zero
−6.8pp to +14.7pp
74% of lists run two copies2nd copy
Mega Sceptile ex
2nd copy vs one
Lift+2.3pp
+2.3pp · 90% range −7.1pp to +11.7pp · could be zero
−7.1pp to +11.7pp
53% of lists run two copies2nd copy
Serena's Choice
2nd copy vs one
Lift+1.6pp
+1.6pp · 90% range −7.1pp to +10.4pp · could be zero
−7.1pp to +10.4pp
8.1% of lists, range 4.1–15.4%, trend −1.4pp (now vs the whole 13-day window)×1
X Speed
Lift+4.2pp
+4.2pp · 90% range −7.6pp to +16.1pp · could be zero
−7.6pp to +16.1pp
90% of lists, range 82.7–94.8%, trend steady (+1.0pp, now vs the whole 13-day window, within the noise)×1
Small Balloon
Lift+3.1pp
+3.1pp · 90% range −8.2pp to +14.4pp · could be zero
−8.2pp to +14.4pp
35% of lists, range 25.5–46.9%×1
Hiking Trail
Lift+0.2pp
+0.2pp · 90% range −9.0pp to +9.4pp · could be zero
−9.0pp to +9.4pp
20% of lists, range 13.4–28.8%, trend −4.0pp (now vs the whole 13-day window)×1
Field Blower
Lift−0.1pp
−0.1pp · 90% range −9.6pp to +9.4pp · could be zero
−9.6pp to +9.4pp
7.1% of lists, range 2.6–17.9%×1
Zangoose
Lift−0.1pp
−0.1pp · 90% range −12.5pp to +12.3pp · could be zero
−12.5pp to +12.3pp
36% of lists run two copies2nd copy
Copycat
2nd copy vs one
Lift−2.5pp
−2.5pp · 90% range −12.6pp to +7.5pp · could be zero
−12.6pp to +7.5pp
78% of lists, range 67.9–86.0%, trend +2.7pp (now vs the whole 13-day window)×1.7
Serena's Choice
Lift−3.7pp
−3.7pp · 90% range −15.1pp to +7.6pp · could be zero
−15.1pp to +7.6pp
100% of lists, range 96.9–100.0%×1
Cyrus
No lift · in almost every list
100% of lists, range 96.9–100.0%×1
Greninja
No lift · in almost every list
100% of lists, range 96.9–100.0%×1
Grovyle
No lift · in almost every list
100% of lists, range 96.9–100.0%×1.7
Mega Sceptile ex
No lift · in almost every list
100% of lists, range 96.9–100.0%×2
Poké Ball
No lift · in almost every list
100% of lists, range 96.9–100.0%×2
Treecko
No lift · in almost every list
99% of lists, range 95.8–99.9%×1
Pheromosa
No lift · in almost every list
99% of lists, range 95.8–99.9%×2
Rare Candy
No lift · in almost every list
99% of lists, range 95.2–99.8%×1
Froakie A1 87
No lift · in almost every list
98% of lists, range 93.5–99.4%×1.4
Copycat
No lift · in almost every list
96% of lists, range 91.2–98.6%×2
Professor's Research
No lift · in almost every list

13 rarely played · in under 5% of lists, too few for a lift

4.5% of lists, range 1.8–10.9%, trend steady (+0.9pp, now vs the whole 13-day window, within the noise)×1
Furfrou B1a 65
3.7% of lists, range 1.5–8.8%, trend steady (−0.5pp, now vs the whole 13-day window, within the noise)×1
Pokémon Center Lady
3.5% of lists, range 1.1–10.3%×1
Fragrant Forest
3.3% of lists, range 1.3–8.2%×1
Juliana
2.1% of lists, range 0.6–6.5%×1
Lucky Ice Pop
1.8% of lists, range 0.5–6.1%×1
Furfrou B4 142
1.8% of lists, range 0.5–6.1%×1
Rocky Helmet
1.8% of lists, range 0.5–6.1%×1
Sabrina
1.0% of lists, range 0.2–4.8%×1
Froakie C1 40
0.6% of lists, range 0.1–4.2%×2
Frogadier
0.6% of lists, range 0.1–4.2%×1
Goomy
0.6% of lists, range 0.1–4.2%×1
May
0.6% of lists, range 0.1–4.2%×1
Quick-Grow Extract

Tech cards vs top opponents

How each card changes the win rate against each of the most common opponents. Colored only when clearly above or below zero.

Tech vs
Mega Charizard Y ex Entei ex
43.4%
34–53% range
21–31–2
- Furfrou B3b 61
  in 72% of lists · 40 games with · 14 without
  −8.0pp−8.0pp · 90% range −20.9pp to +7.4pp · 40 games · could be zero
- X Speed
  in 8% of lists · 4 games with · 50 without
  +7.9pp+7.9pp · 90% range −9.7pp to +25.1pp · 4 games · could be zero
- Hiking Trail
  in 35% of lists · 23 games with · 31 without
  +4.6pp+4.6pp · 90% range −10.2pp to +19.6pp · 23 games · could be zero
- Furfrou B4a 64
  in 13% of lists · 3 games with · 51 without
  +1.9pp+1.9pp · 90% range −14.7pp to +19.7pp · 3 games · could be zero
Head-to-head →
Tech vs
Mega Greninja ex Greninja ex
54.8%
45–64% range
20–21–1
- Small Balloon
  in 90% of lists · 35 games with · 7 without
  +4.3pp+4.3pp · 90% range −12.8pp to +20.4pp · 35 games · could be zero
- Field Blower
  in 20% of lists · 16 games with · 26 without
  +4.0pp+4.0pp · 90% range −11.9pp to +18.9pp · 16 games · could be zero
- Serena's Choice
  in 78% of lists · 28 games with · 14 without
  +4.1pp+4.1pp · 90% range −12.7pp to +19.9pp · 28 games · could be zero
- Furfrou B4a 64
  in 13% of lists · 3 games with · 39 without
  +4.0pp+4.0pp · 90% range −13.7pp to +20.7pp · 3 games · could be zero
Head-to-head →
Tech vs
Suicune ex Baxcalibur
50.6%
41–60% range
19–21–2
- Furfrou B4a 64
  in 13% of lists · 3 games with · 39 without
  +7.4pp+7.4pp · 90% range −10.5pp to +23.6pp · 3 games · could be zero
- Hiking Trail
  in 35% of lists · 10 games with · 32 without
  +6.2pp+6.2pp · 90% range −10.2pp to +21.4pp · 10 games · could be zero
- Small Balloon
  in 90% of lists · 41 games with · 1 without
  +3.7pp+3.7pp · 90% range −10.3pp to +17.3pp · 41 games · could be zero
- Furfrou B3b 61
  in 72% of lists · 33 games with · 9 without
  −3.1pp−3.1pp · 90% range −18.6pp to +13.2pp · 33 games · could be zero
Head-to-head →
Tech vs
Umbreon Hydreigon (C1/B1)
65.3%
54–76% range
17–7
- Hiking Trail
  in 35% of lists · 13 games with · 11 without
  +3.9pp+3.9pp · 90% range −11.9pp to +16.3pp · 13 games · could be zero
- Furfrou B3b 61
  in 72% of lists · 21 games with · 3 without
  −3.7pp−3.7pp · 90% range −21.1pp to +11.2pp · 21 games · could be zero
- Furfrou B4a 64
  in 13% of lists · 1 games with · 23 without
  +3.4pp+3.4pp · 90% range −14.4pp to +17.1pp · 1 games · could be zero
- X Speed
  in 8% of lists · 4 games with · 20 without
  +3.2pp+3.2pp · 90% range −14.2pp to +16.7pp · 4 games · could be zero
Head-to-head →
Tech vs
Magnezone Miraidon ex
50.2%
40–61% range
14–12–3
- Serena's Choice
  in 78% of lists · 25 games with · 4 without
  +5.0pp+5.0pp · 90% range −13.5pp to +21.2pp · 25 games · could be zero
- Small Balloon
  in 90% of lists · 26 games with · 3 without
  +3.1pp+3.1pp · 90% range −11.3pp to +16.4pp · 26 games · could be zero
- Furfrou B3b 61
  in 72% of lists · 23 games with · 6 without
  +3.6pp+3.6pp · 90% range −13.2pp to +18.7pp · 23 games · could be zero
- Field Blower
  in 20% of lists · 4 games with · 25 without
  −2.9pp−2.9pp · 90% range −19.7pp to +13.6pp · 4 games · could be zero
Head-to-head →
Tech vs
Mega Mewtwo X ex Mew ex
50.4%
39–62% range
9–13–2
- Furfrou B3b 61
  in 72% of lists · 17 games with · 7 without
  −6.1pp−6.1pp · 90% range −20.0pp to +9.5pp · 17 games · could be zero
- Furfrou B4a 64
  in 13% of lists · 2 games with · 22 without
  +5.0pp+5.0pp · 90% range −12.8pp to +22.2pp · 2 games · could be zero
- Field Blower
  in 20% of lists · 8 games with · 16 without
  +4.1pp+4.1pp · 90% range −12.2pp to +20.2pp · 8 games · could be zero
- Zangoose
  in 7% of lists · 5 games with · 19 without
  +4.2pp+4.2pp · 90% range −13.1pp to +21.2pp · 5 games · could be zero
Head-to-head →
Tech vs
Giratina ex Dragonair
55.3%
44–67% range
13–9
- Small Balloon
  in 90% of lists · 19 games with · 3 without
  +4.5pp+4.5pp · 90% range −10.3pp to +17.2pp · 19 games · could be zero
- Serena's Choice
  in 78% of lists · 16 games with · 6 without
  +3.9pp+3.9pp · 90% range −14.2pp to +19.1pp · 16 games · could be zero
- Furfrou B4a 64
  in 13% of lists · 2 games with · 20 without
  +2.9pp+2.9pp · 90% range −15.2pp to +18.4pp · 2 games · could be zero
- Zangoose
  in 7% of lists · 1 games with · 21 without
  +2.6pp+2.6pp · 90% range −15.8pp to +18.5pp · 1 games · could be zero
Head-to-head →
Tech vs
Mega Altaria ex Greninja
50.3%
39–61% range
11–13–1
- X Speed
  in 8% of lists · 3 games with · 22 without
  +4.2pp+4.2pp · 90% range −13.7pp to +21.3pp · 3 games · could be zero
- Furfrou B3b 61
  in 72% of lists · 20 games with · 5 without
  −3.8pp−3.8pp · 90% range −19.1pp to +12.5pp · 20 games · could be zero
- Furfrou B4a 64
  in 13% of lists · 2 games with · 23 without
  +3.5pp+3.5pp · 90% range −14.3pp to +20.8pp · 2 games · could be zero
- Zangoose
  in 7% of lists · 3 games with · 22 without
  +3.2pp+3.2pp · 90% range −14.5pp to +20.4pp · 3 games · could be zero
Head-to-head →

Matchups

Win rate against each opponent, with its likely range and the record. With few games the number leans on what the two decks' usual lists predict. 8 opponents with enough recent games, most-faced first.

Show all 97 (89 with few games)

Matchups

Mega Charizard Y ex Entei ex8.8% of fieldMega Charizard Y ex Entei ex8.8% of field	43.4% Win rate 43.4% · 90% range 33.8–53.1% · Record 21–31–2 over 54 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Part games, part prediction.	Steady (−0.5pp, 7-day vs the whole 13-day window, within the noise)	42.0%32.5–51.5	21–31–254 games	8.8%
Mega Greninja ex Greninja ex7.5% of fieldMega Greninja ex Greninja ex7.5% of field	54.8% Win rate 54.8% · 90% range 45.1–64.4% · Record 20–21–1 over 42 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Part games, part prediction.	Steady (+0.6pp, 7-day vs the whole 13-day window, within the noise)	54.8%45.1–64.5	20–21–142 games	7.5%
Suicune ex Baxcalibur5.9% of fieldSuicune ex Baxcalibur5.9% of field	50.6% Win rate 50.6% · 90% range 40.9–60.3% · Record 19–21–2 over 42 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Part games, part prediction.	Steady (−0.5pp, 7-day vs the whole 13-day window, within the noise)	49.7%40.1–59.4	19–21–242 games	5.9%
Umbreon Hydreigon (C1/B1)5.6% of fieldUmbreon Hydreigon (C1/B1)5.6% of field	65.3% Win rate 65.3% · 90% range 54.4–76.2% · Record 17–7 over 24 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Part games, part prediction.	Steady (+1.6pp, 7-day vs the whole 13-day window, within the noise)	63.6%52.8–74.4	17–724 games	5.6%
Magnezone Miraidon ex4.0% of fieldMagnezone Miraidon ex4.0% of field	50.2% Win rate 50.2% · 90% range 39.6–60.8% · Record 14–12–3 over 29 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Part games, part prediction.	Steady (+1.5pp, 7-day vs the whole 13-day window, within the noise)	51.2%40.6–61.8	14–12–329 games	4.0%
Mega Mewtwo X ex Mew ex3.7% of fieldMega Mewtwo X ex Mew ex3.7% of field	50.4% Win rate 50.4% · 90% range 38.9–62.0% · Record 9–13–2 over 24 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Part games, part prediction.	Steady (+1.6pp, 7-day vs the whole 13-day window, within the noise)	51.9%40.4–63.4	9–13–224 games	3.7%
Giratina ex Dragonair3.7% of fieldGiratina ex Dragonair3.7% of field	55.3% Win rate 55.3% · 90% range 44.1–66.5% · Record 13–9 over 22 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Part games, part prediction.	Steady (+2.9pp, 7-day vs the whole 13-day window, within the noise)	55.0%43.8–66.3	13–922 games	3.7%
Mega Altaria ex Greninja2.8% of fieldMega Altaria ex Greninja2.8% of field	50.3% Win rate 50.3% · 90% range 39.1–61.4% · Record 11–13–1 over 25 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Part games, part prediction.	Steady (−1.6pp, 7-day vs the whole 13-day window, within the noise)	50.5%39.0–62.0	11–13–125 games	2.8%

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Data through Nov 9, 2026 games530 entries90How these numbers work