Its win rate51.8%Steady (+0.9pp, 7-day vs 28-day, within the noise)50.3–53.4 ·4.5k games
Top-cut share1.2%0.76–1.74% ·295 entries
Window
Games
120d
Best decks against Butterfree Mega Sceptile ex
Decks that win more than half their games against it, the best-proven first. "Favored" means even the low end of the range is above 50%. Matchups with few recent games are listed separately.
6 favored counters (whole range above 50%), 6 leaning (above 50%, but the range reaches below).
Cards that help against Butterfree Mega Sceptile ex
How many points running the card adds to a deck's win rate against Butterfree Mega Sceptile ex, averaged over the decks that play it into this matchup and allowing for pilot skill. The surest come first.
No card clearly helps against Butterfree Mega Sceptile ex yet, since each card’s range reaches zero. The closest calls are below.
Top 24 of 40 cards · the range includes zero, so these could be noise
Butterfree Mega Sceptile ex in the meta
How often you can expect to face it, day by day (band: likely range).
Meta share by day, Jul 15 – Nov 11: 3.6% to 0.86%; low 0.52% (Aug 5), high 5.8% (Oct 3).Show data (18 weeks of Meta share)
One row a week, ending with the latest day.
Meta share each week (every 7th day, ending with the latest): value, 90% range and sample size
Data through
Meta share
90% range
entries
Jul 15
3.6%
3.2–4.0%
284
Jul 22
3.4%
3.1–3.8%
311
Jul 29
2.8%
2.5–3.2%
324
Aug 5
0.52%
0.4–0.7%
334
Aug 12
0.83%
0.7–1.0%
359
Aug 19
0.96%
0.8–1.2%
372
Aug 26
1.9%
1.6–2.2%
417
Sep 2
3.4%
2.9–4.0%
506
Sep 9
4.9%
4.5–5.3%
699
Sep 16
5.1%
4.7–5.5%
858
Sep 23
5.5%
5.0–5.9%
922
Sep 30
5.1%
4.4–5.9%
976
Oct 7
5.3%
4.6–6.1%
1,052
Oct 14
4.3%
3.8–4.9%
1,087
Oct 21
4.3%
3.8–5.0%
1,112
Oct 28
4.6%
4.0–5.3%
1,133
Nov 4
0.84%
0.6–1.1%
980
Nov 11
0.86%
0.7–1.1%
883
1.14× expected (1.04–1.24)
TierCTier Cvs meta 50.3% (47.3–53.4)
Mega Blaziken ex
Win rate vs it72.3%, trend steady (−11.2pp, 7-day vs 28-day, within the noise)66–79%range ·95–25–4
Pokémon Center Lady9 decks · 1.1k games with · in 56% of their lists
+4.3pp
+4.3pp · 90% range −0.5pp to +9.1pp · 1,091 games · could be zero
Rocky Helmet2 decks · 108 games with · in 12% of their lists
+6.5pp
+6.5pp · 90% range −1.3pp to +14.2pp · 108 games · could be zero
Hiking Trail5 decks · 360 games with · in 41% of their lists
+3.1pp
+3.1pp · 90% range −3.8pp to +9.9pp · 360 games · could be zero
Starting Plains3 decks · 198 games with · in 15% of their lists
+5.4pp
+5.4pp · 90% range −4.0pp to +14.7pp · 198 games · could be zero
Sabrina8 decks · 456 games with · in 44% of their lists
+1.2pp
+1.2pp · 90% range −4.1pp to +6.5pp · 456 games · could be zero
Lucky Ice Pop7 decks · 533 games with · in 40% of their lists
+1.2pp
+1.2pp · 90% range −4.3pp to +6.8pp · 533 games · could be zero
Juliana1 deck · 47 games with · in 12% of their lists
+7.7pp
+7.7pp · 90% range −4.7pp to +17.7pp · 47 games · could be zero
Giant Cape4 decks · 274 games with · in 48% of their lists
+1.8pp
+1.8pp · 90% range −5.0pp to +8.6pp · 274 games · could be zero
Dratini B4 1161 deck · 58 games with · in 43% of their lists
+7.8pp
+7.8pp · 90% range −5.5pp to +19.9pp · 58 games · could be zero
Small Balloon6 decks · 563 games with · in 45% of their lists
+1.0pp
+1.0pp · 90% range −5.6pp to +7.5pp · 563 games · could be zero
Protective Poncho4 decks · 329 games with · in 35% of their lists
+1.1pp
+1.1pp · 90% range −5.8pp to +8.0pp · 329 games · could be zero
Hitmontop1 deck · 110 games with · in 12% of their lists
+5.0pp
+5.0pp · 90% range −6.6pp to +17.3pp · 110 games · could be zero
Field Blower13 decks · 1.2k games with · in 51% of their lists
−2.0pp
−2.0pp · 90% range −6.6pp to +2.6pp · 1,238 games · could be zero
Professor Turo1 deck · 18 games with · in 41% of their lists
+9.2pp
+9.2pp · 90% range −6.9pp to +24.3pp · 18 games · could be zero
X Speed4 decks · 539 games with · in 70% of their lists
+2.3pp
+2.3pp · 90% range −7.2pp to +11.8pp · 539 games · could be zero
Oricorio B4 782 decks · 100 games with · in 40% of their lists
+3.9pp
+3.9pp · 90% range −7.5pp to +15.3pp · 100 games · could be zero
Zeraora1 deck · 74 games with · in 28% of their lists
+7.2pp
+7.2pp · 90% range −7.9pp to +21.6pp · 74 games · could be zero
Castform Sunny Form1 deck · 89 games with · in 78% of their lists
+8.0pp
+8.0pp · 90% range −7.9pp to +20.0pp · 89 games · could be zero
Hitmonlee1 deck · 245 games with · in 76% of their lists
+3.1pp
+3.1pp · 90% range −8.1pp to +15.2pp · 245 games · could be zero
Minior1 deck · 18 games with · in 1% of their lists
+5.2pp
+5.2pp · 90% range −8.3pp to +15.9pp · 18 games · could be zero
Heatmor1 deck · 106 games with · in 84% of their lists
+5.0pp
+5.0pp · 90% range −8.5pp to +14.5pp · 106 games · could be zero
Elegant Cape3 decks · 139 games with · in 59% of their lists
+2.2pp
+2.2pp · 90% range −8.5pp to +12.9pp · 139 games · could be zero
Kid's Room1 deck · 36 games with · in 68% of their lists
+6.1pp
+6.1pp · 90% range −9.2pp to +18.6pp · 36 games · could be zero
Chingling2 decks · 57 games with · in 56% of their lists
+2.4pp
+2.4pp · 90% range −9.3pp to +14.0pp · 57 games · could be zero
Meta share0.86%−67%range 0.67–1.10% ·883 entries ·402 pilots
Share of top cuts1.2%range 0.76–1.74% ·295 entries
Share trend vs the last 4 weeks (falling −67%, beyond the noise). Data through Nov 11, 2026.
54.9%
Win rate 54.9% · 90% range 45.3–64.5% · Record 30–18–1 over 49 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Part games, part prediction.
30–18–1 · 49 games
51.4%
Win rate 51.4% · 90% range 45.1–57.8% · Record 83–83–8 over 174 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Mostly these games.
83–83–8 · 174 games
Win rate 52.3% · 90% range 43.5–61.1% · Record 36–29–3 over 68 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Part games, part prediction.
36–29–3 · 68 games
53.2%
Win rate 53.2% · 90% range 41.7–64.7% · Record 15–7–1 over 23 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Leans on the prediction.
15–7–1 · 23 games
50.8%
Win rate 50.8% · 90% range 41.0–60.7% · Record 23–26–1 over 50 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Part games, part prediction.
23–26–1 · 50 games
65.2%
Win rate 65.2% · 90% range 53.8–76.5% · Record 14–4–1 over 19 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
14–4–1 · 19 games
65.6%
Win rate 65.6% · 90% range 52.7–78.6% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
62.4%
Win rate 62.4% · 90% range 51.0–73.7% · Record 12–7 over 19 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
12–7 · 19 games
63.4%
Win rate 63.4% · 90% range 50.5–76.4% · Record 4–0 over 4 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
4–0 · 4 games
Win rate 63.1% · 90% range 50.5–75.7% · Record 5–1 over 6 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
5–1 · 6 games
62.7%
Win rate 62.7% · 90% range 49.4–76.0% · Record 2–1 over 3 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
2–1 · 3 games
62.7%
Win rate 62.7% · 90% range 49.0–76.3% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
61.8%
Win rate 61.8% · 90% range 48.6–74.9% · Record 0–2 over 2 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
0–2 · 2 games
61.8%
Win rate 61.8% · 90% range 48.3–75.3% · Record 1–1 over 2 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–1 · 2 games
60.7%
Win rate 60.7% · 90% range 47.0–74.5% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
60.4%
Win rate 60.4% · 90% range 46.5–74.3% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
Win rate 60.0% · 90% range 46.3–73.7% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
60.0%
Win rate 60.0% · 90% range 46.2–73.8% · Record 1–1 over 2 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–1 · 2 games
59.9%
Win rate 59.9% · 90% range 46.2–73.5% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
58.9%
Win rate 58.9% · 90% range 45.3–72.5% · Record 0–1 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
0–1 · 1 games
58.5%
Win rate 58.5% · 90% range 44.8–72.2% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
56.9%
Win rate 56.9% · 90% range 44.3–69.5% · Record 3–6 over 9 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
3–6 · 9 games
57.8%
Win rate 57.8% · 90% range 44.2–71.4% · Record 0–1 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
0–1 · 1 games
57.3%
Win rate 57.3% · 90% range 43.9–70.7% · Record 0–2 over 2 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
0–2 · 2 games
57.3%
Win rate 57.3% · 90% range 43.8–70.9% · Record 0–2 over 2 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
0–2 · 2 games
57.4%
Win rate 57.4% · 90% range 43.5–71.3% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
57.2%
Win rate 57.2% · 90% range 43.5–70.9% · Record 0–1 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
0–1 · 1 games
57.8%
Win rate 57.8% · 90% range 43.4–72.2% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
Win rate 56.6% · 90% range 43.0–70.2% · Record 0–1 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
0–1 · 1 games
56.8%
Win rate 56.8% · 90% range 42.9–70.6% · Record 0–1 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
0–1 · 1 games
Win rate 55.8% · 90% range 42.8–68.8% · Record 5–3 over 8 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
5–3 · 8 games
56.4%
Win rate 56.4% · 90% range 42.2–70.6% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
55.8%
Win rate 55.8% · 90% range 41.7–70.0% · Record 0–1 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
0–1 · 1 games
55.3%
Win rate 55.3% · 90% range 41.6–69.0% · Record 5–3 over 8 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
5–3 · 8 games
55.4%
Win rate 55.4% · 90% range 41.5–69.3% · Record 1–1 over 2 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–1 · 2 games
Win rate 55.3% · 90% range 41.1–69.5% · Record 1–1 over 2 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–1 · 2 games
52.6%
Win rate 52.6% · 90% range 40.4–64.7% · Record 8–7–1 over 16 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
8–7–1 · 16 games
54.0%
Win rate 54.0% · 90% range 40.1–68.0% · Record 2–1 over 3 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
2–1 · 3 games
54.1%
Win rate 54.1% · 90% range 40.0–68.1% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
53.5%
Win rate 53.5% · 90% range 39.5–67.6% · Record 0–1 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
0–1 · 1 games
53.1%
Win rate 53.1% · 90% range 39.2–67.0% · Record 1–1 over 2 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–1 · 2 games
51.5%
Win rate 51.5% · 90% range 38.8–64.1% · Record 4–5 over 9 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
4–5 · 9 games
51.8%
Win rate 51.8% · 90% range 38.6–65.1% · Record 4–3 over 7 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
4–3 · 7 games
Win rate 51.4% · 90% range 38.3–64.5% · Record 4–2–1 over 7 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
4–2–1 · 7 games
52.1%
Win rate 52.1% · 90% range 38.2–66.1% · Record 1–1 over 2 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–1 · 2 games
50.4%
Win rate 50.4% · 90% range 38.0–62.8% · Record 9–6–1 over 16 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
9–6–1 · 16 games
Win rate 51.7% · 90% range 37.8–65.6% · Record 0–1 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
0–1 · 1 games
51.2%
Win rate 51.2% · 90% range 37.7–64.6% · Record 3–3 over 6 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
3–3 · 6 games
51.6%
Win rate 51.6% · 90% range 37.2–65.9% · Record 0–1 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
0–1 · 1 games
51.8%
Win rate 51.8% · 90% range 37.2–66.3% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
50.3%
Win rate 50.3% · 90% range 37.2–63.5% · Record 6–4 over 10 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
6–4 · 10 games
50.8%
Win rate 50.8% · 90% range 37.1–64.5% · Record 4–0 over 4 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
4–0 · 4 games
50.0%
Win rate 50.0% · 90% range 37.1–62.9% · Record 2–9 over 11 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
2–9 · 11 games
50.9%
Win rate 50.9% · 90% range 37.0–64.9% · Record 1–1 over 2 games, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–1 · 2 games
51.3%
Win rate 51.3% · 90% range 36.7–65.9% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
50.8%
Win rate 50.8% · 90% range 36.7–65.0% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
50.7%
Win rate 50.7% · 90% range 36.4–65.1% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
50.6%
Win rate 50.6% · 90% range 36.4–64.9% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
1–0 · 1 games
Win rate 50.1% · 90% range 35.5–64.6% · Record 1–0 over 1 game, blended with what the two decks' usual lists predict. Few games so far, so mostly the prediction.
Metalodon
#24 by share
Milotic ex Eevee ex0.11% of field · 29–13–5
Beautifly Dustox (B4)0.10% of field · 30–18–1
Dragonair Mega Rayquaza ex (B4)1.2% of field · 83–83–8
Mega Altaria ex0.11% of field · 36–29–3
Mega Gardevoir ex Mega Diancie ex0.31% of field · 15–7–1
Mega Sharpedo ex Gyarados0.17% of field · 23–26–1
Fuecoco ex Charizard0.18% of field · few recent games · 0–1
Mega Charizard X ex Mega Charizard Y ex0.05% of field · few recent games · 14–4–1
Mega Charizard Y ex Charizard0.12% of field · few recent games · 1–0
Charizard ex Mega Charizard Y ex (B1a/A1)0.05% of field · few recent games · 12–7
Mega Blaziken ex Entei ex0.04% of field · few recent games · 4–0
Entei exrarely played · few recent games · 5–1
Mega Houndoom ex Castform Sunny Formrarely played · few recent games · 2–1
Skeledirge Castform Sunny Formrarely played · few recent games · 1–0
Ho-Oh ex Charmeleonrarely played · few recent games · 1–0
Skeledirge Teal Mask Ogerpon exrarely played · few recent games · 1–0
Incineroar exrarely played · few recent games · 1–0
Infernape ex Happinyrarely played · few recent games · 1–0
Flareon ex Mega Charizard Y exrarely played · few recent games · 1–0
Delphox Pichurarely played · few recent games · 0–1
Magcargo (A4)rarely played · few recent games · 5–3
Giratina ex Mega Mewtwo X ex0.42% of field · few recent games · 1–0
Mega Diancie ex Carbink0.42% of field · few recent games · 5–3
Lopunny Raboot1.5% of field · few recent games · 1–1
Mega Manectric ex Zeraorararely played · few recent games · 2–1
Giratina ex Dragonair (C1/B4)3.3% of field · few recent games · 1–1
Greninja Oricorio0.05% of field · few recent games · 4–5
Dedenne ex Pichu0.09% of field · few recent games · 4–3
Mega Sceptile exrarely played · few recent games · 4–2–1
Greninja Mega Absol ex0.09% of field · few recent games · 9–6–1
Mega Mewtwo X ex Mew ex3.1% of field · few recent games · 3–3
Mew ex Mega Diancie ex0.18% of field · few recent games · 0–1
Pikachu ex Miraidon exrarely played · few recent games · 1–0
Indeedee ex Giratina exrarely played · few recent games · 6–4
Bellibolt ex Zeraora0.03% of field · few recent games · 1–1
Pikachu ex Tauros exrarely played · few recent games · 1–0
Magnezone Oricoriorarely played · few recent games · 1–0
Pawmotrarely played · few recent games · 1–0
Rocky Helmet2 decks · 108 games with · in 12% of their lists
Hiking Trail5 decks · 360 games with · in 41% of their lists
Starting Plains3 decks · 198 games with · in 15% of their lists
Sabrina8 decks · 456 games with · in 44% of their lists
Lucky Ice Pop7 decks · 533 games with · in 40% of their lists
Juliana1 deck · 47 games with · in 12% of their lists
Giant Cape4 decks · 274 games with · in 48% of their lists
Dratini B4 1161 deck · 58 games with · in 43% of their lists
Small Balloon6 decks · 563 games with · in 45% of their lists
Protective Poncho4 decks · 329 games with · in 35% of their lists
Hitmontop1 deck · 110 games with · in 12% of their lists
Field Blower13 decks · 1.2k games with · in 51% of their lists
Professor Turo1 deck · 18 games with · in 41% of their lists
X Speed4 decks · 539 games with · in 70% of their lists
Oricorio B4 782 decks · 100 games with · in 40% of their lists
Zeraora1 deck · 74 games with · in 28% of their lists
Castform Sunny Form1 deck · 89 games with · in 78% of their lists
Hitmonlee1 deck · 245 games with · in 76% of their lists
Minior1 deck · 18 games with · in 1% of their lists
Heatmor1 deck · 106 games with · in 84% of their lists
Elegant Cape3 decks · 139 games with · in 59% of their lists
Kid's Room1 deck · 36 games with · in 68% of their lists
Chingling2 decks · 57 games with · in 56% of their lists
